Resources

Whitepaper · Balboa × Pendo

Predictive Customer Success

Building the data foundation for an agentic CS motion.

Nearly half of CSMs miss their annual target. When 44% of the role falls short, the problem is the architecture, not the people. The signals that predict renewal, expansion, and churn already exist across product analytics, the CRM, support, and billing — today, humans are asked to synthesize them by hand.

This joint field guide from Balboa and Pendo walks through the shift from reactive, dashboard-driven customer success to predictive, agentic customer success: which data sources to use, how to make them model-ready, how the model works, how predictions become action, and who you need to run it.

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Authored by Jonathan Huhn, Chief of Staff, Balboa Jay Nathan, CEO, Balboa Jenna McLaughlin, Sr. Director, Pendo Predict, Pendo

Published July 2026

The core argument

The CRM was never built for analytics. Customer success platforms tried to fill that gap and created a shadow CRM. Meanwhile the clearest signal — product usage — sat in the product org, siloed away from the teams responsible for retention. So the wrong kind of work fell on humans: CSMs synthesizing a health score, a last-login date, and a renewal date by intuition.

A better system is now within reach for any company with a product and a customer base. A predictive model ingests every signal, learns from your own history of churn and renewal, and produces one continuously updated answer for each account. That answer lands in the workflow your team already uses, explained in plain language, paired with a recommended next step, and acted on for you.

You do not need a data science team, a platform migration, or a year of build time. You need the data you already have, the right architecture, and a few strong people who know what they are doing.

The shift, in one table

Manual / CSP-based
Predictive + agentic
How risk is found
CSM reads scattered attributes, synthesizes by gut
Model synthesizes every signal into one score
When you know
Weeks after behavior shifts, often too late
Updated nightly, hours after behavior shifts
Coverage
~20% of CSMs catch most of the risk
The whole team operates on the same signal
Where it lives
A separate dashboard or report to go find
In the CRM, on the record, with next steps
What product data does
Sits in the product org, unused by GTM
Becomes a go-to-market asset
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